Based on its own expertise, as well as on consultations with a number of partners and potential beneficiaries, Global Focus has selected a number of potentially disruptive narratives that may negatively affect public confidence in the efforts made by the state and civil society to support refugees and the Ukrainian cause, as well as the just cause.
Pe baza expertizei proprii, precum și a consultării unui număr de parteneri și posibili beneficiari, Global Focus a selectat o serie de narative cu potențial disruptiv care pot afecta negativ încrederea populației în eforturile făcute de stat și societatea civilă în sprijinirea refugiaților și a cauzei ucrainene, precum și în justețea acestei cauze.
GlobalFocus Center launches the Democratic Resilience Index, the first quantitative instrument specifically designed to measure democratic resilience, elaborated for the European Commission and the German Marshall Fund, with a second wave running in Austria, Georgia and Poland.
Propaganda pro-Kremlin pe Facebook se manifestă și prin comentarii identice puse de un număr limitat de utilizatori („troli”). O primă cercetare a Political Capital (Ungaria) și a partenerilor săi a dezvăluit existența unor „rețele de troli online potențial coordonate” în țările V4 imediat după începerea invaziei.
This research attempts to begin to understand the kinds of patterns and methods used by actors seeking to inflame tensions in the region as well as to identify possible motives and inform suitable responses.
Romania scores higher than other regional countries in terms of resilience to foreign interference, mainly thanks to its firm pro-Western orientation. The country’s primary vulnerabilities remain internal: elite capture by groups of interests that influence the political and social agenda, media ownership by corrupt businessmen and politicians, a drift toward social conservatism, etc. align with the interests of Moscow and Beijing to weaken the Euro-Atlantic alliance and create potential opportunities for malign influence.
GlobalFocus Center and its regional partner Globsec have published the Vulnerability Index, an analysis of eight countries in Central-Eastern Europe and the Western Balkans (Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Montenegro, North Macedonia), with scores ranging from 0 (most resilient), to 100 (least resilient). Romania scores 29, equal to Czechia, whereas Serbia scores highest (55), closely followed by Hungary and Montenegro (44).
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